Had someone in this area that broke this shaft before. I was combining in the same field,(frozen soybeans and snow) when it happened. Agree with the others in that any play can cause hammering, and hairline fractures which may fail at some point. look closely at pitman, stub shaft for pitman on pulley, shoe and grain pan. Usually excess weight on pan will break pan before shaft, but pan should be hoed off regularly. Check alignment of all components. Incidentally, this guy replaced his with one from Massey and it broke again the following year. At second failure, he had a machine shop build one heavier. Seems to me his broke inside lH bearing, arm and pitman still functioned normally. He never had a problem again. To replace, remove seives and climb inside to remove pivot pins(air hammer works great). Remove pins from grain pan at sides and block pan up. Believe you can pull shoe rearward far enough, and think there is a piece of tinwork to take out at top of fan housing. Shaft should remove out right hand side. Check for any shimming required to align and square shaft in machine.